October 19, 2011

CHINA is expected to replace Japan as the world's second wealthiest country after the United States with total fortune of nearly US$40 trillion by 2016, Credit Suisse AG said in a report today.

However, the accumulation of wealth will be achieved at the expense of an expanding wealth gap in China where the Gini coefficient, a commonly used measure of income inequality, has already passed an extremely dangerous level.

The country has already surpassed Japan as the world's second biggest economy.

Overall wealth in the hands of mainland Chinese people is projected to reach US$39 trillion in the next five years, a level that the US achieved in 22 years between 1968 and 1990, the Zurich-based firm said in its second annual Global Wealth Report.

China currently holds wealth of US$20 trillion, the third highest in the world only behind the US and Japan but ahead of France, according to the report, which analyzes the wealth distribution of all the 4.5 billion adults in more than 200 countries.

Total fortune in China increased by US$4 trillion from January 2010 to June this year and is the second highest contributor to global wealth growth after the US, the report added.

Wealth per adult in China has more than tripled from US$6,000 in 2000 to US$21,000 this year, while increasing by 21.6 percent in the past year and a half, according to the report.

However, with the increasing wealth of successful entrepreneurs, professionals and investors, wealth inequality has been rising strongly, the report cautioned.

The Gini coefficient in China has reached 0.5 last year after reaching the recognized warning level of 0.4 more than 10 years ago, according to a report by Xinhua news agency in May last year.

Developed European nations and Canada tend to have Gini indices between 0.24 and 0.36.

A low Gini coefficient indicates a more equal distribution, with 0 corresponding to complete equality, while higher Gini coefficients indicate more unequal distribution, with 1 corresponding to complete inequality.


Source: http://www.shanghaidaily.com/nsp/Business/2011/10/19/China%2Bto%2Bovertake%2BJapan%2Bas%2B2nd%2Brichest%2Bnation/